Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6258
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
OO 6258 · ORD → ALB
departs 8:31 AM CT · arrives 11:36 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Mon 10/12 18%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 25%
Thu 10/15 22%
Fri 10/16 20%
Sat 10/17 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at ALB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ALB?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8am departures from ORD are often late
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at ALB
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ALB usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 8,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ALB (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 1,600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.