Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6441
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
OO 6441 · FLG → PHX
departs 6:29 AM MT · arrives 7:40 AM MT
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 37%
Mon 10/12 17%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 10%
Thu 10/15 10%
Fri 10/16 12%
Sat 10/17 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave FLG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at FLG that day
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
FLG (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.31 in
PHX (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.