tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ASIANA · FLIGHT OZ 201 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

OZ 201 · LAX → ICN

departs 10:29 AM PT · arrives 3:31 PM KST
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Arrive at ICN more than 15 minutes late?
18% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 6.6d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ICN?

  1. On time or early
    81%
  2. 15–30 min late
    9%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.