PD 2346 · BOS → YOW

departs 3:44 PM ET · arrives 5:45 PM EDT

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at YOW more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±1 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YOW?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.7 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at YOW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day

↑ 3pm departures from BOS are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.06 in

YOW (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.94 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

PD 2346 · BOS → YOW

Odds over time

How late will it get to YOW?