Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 6020
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
PT 6020 · PHL → ART
departs 8:55 PM ET · arrives 10:26 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Tue 10/13
Thu 10/15 20%
Fri 10/16 26%
Sun 10/18 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at ART more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ART more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at ART more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ART?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at ART that day
↑
8pm departures from PHL are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ART usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
ART (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 1.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.