tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA JAZZ · FLIGHT QK 491 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

QK 491 · EWR → YUL

departs 6:00 AM ET · arrives 7:27 AM EDT
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Arrive at YUL more than 15 minutes late?
9% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.2d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to YUL?

  1. On time or early
    89%
  2. 15–30 min late
    4%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.