Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2268
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
QX 2268 · PHX → BOI
departs 9:05 AM MT · arrives 12:25 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 1:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Mon 10/12 24%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 16%
Thu 10/15 20%
Fri 10/16 20%
Sat 10/17 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOI more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at BOI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOI?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
QX's recent on-time record
↑
This route's recent record
↑
PHX is busy at that time
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOI
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
BOI (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.