Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2555 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

QX 2555 · BIL → SEA

departs 7:41 AM MT · arrives 8:52 AM PT

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SEA?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at BIL that day

↑ QX's recent on-time record

↑ SEA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SEA

↓ 7am departures from BIL are usually not late

Weather at each end

BIL (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

SEA (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceiling3,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

QX 2555 · BIL → SEA

Odds over time

How late will it get to SEA?