Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AIR CANADA ROUGE · FLIGHT RV 1772 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

RV 1772 · YVR → LAS

departs 2:15 PM PDT · arrives 4:56 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±5 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at YVR

Weather at each end

YVR (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling2,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

RV 1772 · YVR → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?