UA 1188 · RDM → DEN

departs 5:00 AM PT · arrives 8:28 AM MT

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±1 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDM

↑ RDM is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from RDM are usually not late

Weather at each end

RDM (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1188 · RDM → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?