Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1688 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 9:10 AM CT (21 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

UA 1688 · ORD → AUS

departs 8:34 AM CT · arrives 11:14 AM CT

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

48% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling8,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

AUS (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1688 · ORD → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?