UA 1697 · IAH → LGA

departs 7:00 AM CT · arrives 11:29 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at IAH that day

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling900 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.20 in

LGA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1697 · IAH → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?