Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2087 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

UA 2087 · DEN → IAD

departs 10:20 AM MT · arrives 3:53 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAD?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↑ 10am departures from DEN are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling11,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAD (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2087 · DEN → IAD

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAD?