Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2157 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

UA 2157 · IAH → SLC

departs 8:25 PM CT · arrives 10:43 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 40h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±11 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ 8pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.47 in

SLC (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.61 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2157 · IAH → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?