Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2748 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

UA 2748 · IAH → PHL

departs 12:12 PM CT · arrives 4:36 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±1 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at IAH that day

↑ 12pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.47 in

PHL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2748 · IAH → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?