Schedule: FAA flight plans.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 318 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 9:10 AM CT (20 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

UA 318 · ORD → DEN

departs 8:35 AM CT · arrives 10:13 AM MT

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 13h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8am departures from ORD are often late

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at DEN that day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling8,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

DEN (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 318 · ORD → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?