Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 321 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

UA 321 · IAD → VCE

departs 5:13 PM ET · arrives 7:27 AM CEST

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 42h before departure

Arrive at VCE more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to VCE?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 5pm departures from IAD are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at VCE

Weather at each end

IAD (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

VCE (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 321 · IAD → VCE

Odds over time

How late will it get to VCE?