Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 334 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

UA 334 · IAH → LGA

departs 4:15 PM CT · arrives 8:59 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 29h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±4 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at IAH that day

↑ Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late

↑ 4pm departures from IAH are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility9 mi Precip0.20 in

LGA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 334 · IAH → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?