Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 837SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 837 · SFO → NRT
departs 12:08 PM PT · arrives 3:19 PM JST
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at NRT more than 15 minutes late?
15%chance · ±2 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to NRT?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.