Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1052
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
WN 1052 · BWI → MCI
departs 8:38 PM ET · arrives 10:23 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 22%
Thu 10/15 27%
Fri 10/16 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±4 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCI (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.