Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1387
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
WN 1387 · DAL → LGA
departs 6:00 PM CT · arrives 10:23 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 39%
Sat 10/17 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±4 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at LGA that day
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LGA (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.