Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1491 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13

WN 1491 · BWI → CMH

departs 11:03 AM ET · arrives 12:28 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 10:00 PM ET · 37h before departure

Arrive at CMH more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CMH?

On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ BWI is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into CMH at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility6 mi Precipnone

CMH (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1491 · BWI → CMH

Odds over time

How late will it get to CMH?