Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1582
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
WN 1582 · DEN → DTW
departs 2:08 PM MT · arrives 6:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 25%
Thu 10/15 21%
Fri 10/16 19%
Sun 10/18 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at DTW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DTW?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 41% of the time recently
↑
2pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DTW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 4,267 ft Visibility 8.66667 mi Precip 0.01 in
DTW (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.