WN 1891 · SLC → LAS

departs 6:30 AM MT · arrives 7:00 AM PT

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

4% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
95%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at SLC that day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from SLC are usually not late

Weather at each end

SLC (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.32 in

LAS (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1891 · SLC → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?