WN 1917 · LAS → SLC

departs 7:59 AM PT · arrives 10:21 AM MT

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SLC?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain forecast at SLC that day

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Other factors

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SLC (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.34 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1917 · LAS → SLC

Odds over time

How late will it get to SLC?