Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1928
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
WN 1928 · FLL → MDW
departs 5:48 PM ET · arrives 7:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 49%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 23%
Thu 10/15 37%
Fri 10/16 39%
Sun 10/18 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±1 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave FLL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late
↑
5pm departures from FLL are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
FLL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
FLL (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.