Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2305
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
WN 2305 · LAS → HOU
departs 12:50 AM PT · arrives 5:47 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Mon 10/12 25%
Tue 10/13
Fri 10/16 16%
Sat 10/17 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±5 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.2d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HOU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at HOU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to HOU?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
12am departures from LAS are often late
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
HOU (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.