Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2328
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
WN 2328 · LAS → MCI
departs 1:38 PM PT · arrives 6:24 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 52%
Mon 10/12 39%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 24%
Thu 10/15 35%
Fri 10/16 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at MCI that day
↑
1pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MCI (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 6,067 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.18 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.