WN 2448 · DEN → MCO

departs 5:39 AM MT · arrives 11:06 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±0 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ DEN is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from DEN are usually not late

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

MCO (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2448 · DEN → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?