WN 262 · PHX → CLE

departs 8:14 AM MT · arrives 2:56 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts −6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLE?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 20% of the time recently

↑ Other factors

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

CLE (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 262 · PHX → CLE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLE?