Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2765 SCHEDULED

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

WN 2765 · MCO → MSY

departs 12:25 AM ET · arrives 1:04 AM CT

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 AM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

6% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Other factors

↑ Arrivals into MSY at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSY (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility7 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2765 · MCO → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?