Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2958
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
WN 2958 · BOS → MCI
departs 1:18 PM ET · arrives 3:43 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±3 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at BOS that day
↑
1pm departures from BOS are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MCI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.02 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.