Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3072
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
WN 3072 · DEN → PHX
departs 1:26 PM MT · arrives 2:21 PM MT
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 42%
Sat 10/17 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
29%
chance · ±5 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
29%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
29%
Yes 29%
No 71%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
1pm departures from DEN are often late
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at DEN that day
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.