WN 3333 · PHL → BNA

departs 1:46 PM ET · arrives 2:50 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3333 · PHL → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?