WN 3357 · FLL → MCO

departs 5:34 PM ET · arrives 6:41 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ 5pm departures from FLL are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

MCO (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3357 · FLL → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?