WN 3386 · PHX → DEN

departs 12:57 PM MT · arrives 3:37 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±2 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 12pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

DEN (destination) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3386 · PHX → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?