WN 347 · AUS → LAS

departs 2:40 PM CT · arrives 3:33 PM PT

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±7 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from AUS are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 347 · AUS → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?