Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 381
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
WN 381 · BWI → MHT
departs 1:53 PM ET · arrives 3:24 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at MHT more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±2 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MHT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at MHT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MHT?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at MHT that day
↑
1pm departures from BWI are often late
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MHT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
MHT (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.7 mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.