Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3993
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
WN 3993 · DTW → DEN
departs 3:53 PM ET · arrives 4:57 PM MT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 65%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±5 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave DTW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↑
3pm departures from DTW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Gusts to 26 kt forecast at DTW that day
Weather at each end
DTW (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 9 mi Precip none
DEN (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.