Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4117
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
WN 4117 · DAL → SLC
departs 7:18 PM CT · arrives 8:59 PM MT
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
40%
chance · ±4 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
40%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at DAL that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into SLC at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
SLC (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.67 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.