WN 4167 · BWI → IND

departs 12:59 PM ET · arrives 2:49 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IND?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from BWI are often late

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IND

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IND (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4167 · BWI → IND

Odds over time

How late will it get to IND?