Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4367
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
WN 4367 · MDW → SFO
departs 10:03 AM CT · arrives 12:28 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 34%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 16%
Thu 10/15 29%
Fri 10/16 28%
Sat 10/17 24%
Sun 10/18 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±5 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into SFO at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 49% of the time recently
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
Weather at each end
MDW (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 8,067 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.