Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 733
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
WN 733 · SAN → BOS
departs 9:23 AM PT · arrives 5:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±5 pts
+21 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +21 pts in 24h
+21 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
34%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at BOS that day
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 20% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.