WN 866 · MCI → ABQ

departs 1:58 PM CT · arrives 3:13 PM MT

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 21h before departure

Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±2 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ABQ?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Thunderstorms forecast at MCI that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into ABQ at that hour are often late

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MCI usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility9.33333 mi Precip0.17 in

ABQ (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 866 · MCI → ABQ

Odds over time

How late will it get to ABQ?