Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 897
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
WN 897 · PHX → SLC
departs 7:03 PM MT · arrives 9:43 PM MT
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 57%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 15%
Thu 10/15 28%
Fri 10/16 26%
Sat 10/17 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±9 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
7pm departures from PHX are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
SLC (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.