Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 986
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
WN 986 · DAL → SLC
departs 11:58 AM CT · arrives 1:38 PM MT
Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 22%
Sat 10/17 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SLC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at SLC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SLC?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.7 in of rain forecast at SLC that day
↑
DAL is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at DAL that day
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into SLC at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 23 kt
Ceiling 1,100 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
SLC (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 1,700 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.61 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.