WN 998 · MDW → RDU

departs 7:59 AM CT · arrives 10:58 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
91%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

MDW (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling8,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

RDU (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 998 · MDW → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?