Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
WESTJET · FLIGHT WS 1090
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
WS 1090 · YYC → LAS
departs 3:20 PM MDT · arrives 5:17 PM PT
Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 15%
Thu 10/15 29%
Fri 10/16 24%
Sat 10/17 19%
Sun 10/18 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±9 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave YYC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at YYC
Weather at each end
YYC (origin)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 10,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.