WS 1099 · PHX → YEG

departs 10:23 AM MT · arrives 2:37 PM MDT

Forecast issued Mon 1:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at YEG more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±3 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to YEG?

On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ WS's recent on-time record

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into YEG at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.05 in

YEG (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WS 1099 · PHX → YEG

Odds over time

How late will it get to YEG?