Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
MESA · FLIGHT YV 3980SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
YV 3980 · IAD → SDF
departs 1:05 PM ET · arrives 2:54 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SDF more than 15 minutes late?
13%chance · ±2 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SDF?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.